Adria Soriano Barrera vs Roger Pascual Ferra Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Barrera has shown stronger second serve performance, winning 44.29% of points compared to Ferra's 39.56%. How might this affect the match outcome? It suggests Barrera’s second serve is more reliable.
• Ferra has a slight advantage in returning, capturing 47.71% of opponents' second serve points versus Barrera's 43.14%.
• In first serve returns, Ferra dominates with 34.55% against Barrera's 25.93%, indicating stronger return capabilities on powerful serves.
• Barrera handles pressure better, saving 58.22% of breakpoints compared to Ferra’s 44% success rate.
• Both players have comparable overall performance, Barrera with a 71.05% win rate over the past year, slightly edging out Ferra’s 70%. What does this indicate for match prediction? It’s an almost evenly matched encounter.
• Both players excel on hard surfaces, with Barrera boasting a 68% win rate and Ferra at 67%.
• Most of Barrera's matches were at the $10K level, achieving a 79.17% win rate, while Ferra achieved a 70% win rate at the same event level.
• Ferra has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents (average rank of 191.72) than Barrera (average rank of 202.07). Could opponent quality impact the next match? It hints at Ferra being battle-tested against tougher competitors.
• In deciding sets, Barrera shows dominance with a 79% win rate versus Ferra's 44%, which is crucial in tight matches.
• Ferra has a higher breakpoint conversion rate (38.96%) compared to Barrera’s 31.37%, crucial for turning match scenarios around.

Editorial Prediction (July 13, 2025, UTC):

Barrera enters this match with an edge in second serve performance, which can be pivotal in establishing control in rallies right from the serve. Additionally, Barrera's ability to handle pressure, evidenced by a superior breakpoint saving rate, suggests resilience under tough match situations.

Conversely, Ferra demonstrates stronger return statistics, particularly on the first serve, which could pressure Barrera to play more strategic points. Ferra's slightly tougher opponents this past year may also contribute to a more tested competitive mindset.

However, if the match extends into a deciding set, Barrera's impressive performance in such scenarios might prove to be the decisive factor. Despite the balance in past performance and surface preferences, these factors slightly tip the scales in Barrera's favor.

Based on the analysis, Barrera is poised as the likely winner for the upcoming match.